Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.029250 0.032015 0.034742 0.037630 0.040596 0.043548 0.046703
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.023440 0.027888 0.032392 0.037265 0.042365 0.047527 0.053127
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019074 0.024599 0.030325 0.036637 0.043344 0.050214 0.057745
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015928 0.022225 0.028897 0.036369 0.044407 0.052718 0.061899
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013810 0.020745 0.028239 0.036743 0.045980 0.055603 0.066292
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011283 0.018592 0.026681 0.035997 0.046222 0.056953 0.068943
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.009509 0.017158 0.025811 0.035907 0.047084 0.058884 0.072128
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.007803 0.015664 0.024778 0.035553 0.047585 0.060363 0.074764
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006206 0.014164 0.023650 0.035023 0.047832 0.061511 0.076993
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004375 0.012173 0.021842 0.033644 0.047076 0.061517 0.077938
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003829 0.011856 0.022007 0.034500 0.048783 0.064183 0.081730
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003145 0.011269 0.021805 0.034900 0.049951 0.066233 0.084828
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001999 0.009931 0.020749 0.034432 0.050304 0.067570 0.087362
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001044 0.008668 0.019754 0.034047 0.050785 0.069093 0.090156
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000297 0.007360 0.018610 0.033433 0.050969 0.070259 0.092536
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006361 0.017799 0.033173 0.051521 0.071803 0.095299
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005784 0.017521 0.033535 0.052766 0.074096 0.098858
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004688 0.016406 0.032812 0.052714 0.074906 0.100755
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004000 0.015827 0.032725 0.053380 0.076499 0.103493
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003253 0.015073 0.032382 0.053718 0.077702 0.105776
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002504 0.014217 0.031869 0.053829 0.078625 0.107728
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001533 0.012777 0.030535 0.052926 0.078369 0.108345
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001432 0.012972 0.031363 0.054607 0.081049 0.112222